Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Cruzeiro 1-1 Fluminense. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

The late equaliser came from Matheus Pereira 75', which kept the game level at the finish.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Fluminense led Shots on target 3-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cruzeiro also shaded Total shots 19-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cruzeiro the favourite at 52.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cruzeiro

52.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Fluminense

Cruzeiro

Fluminense

3

5

Total shots

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Fluminense

19

10

Possession

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Fluminense

61%

39%