Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Flamengo struck first through Pedro 22', but Cruzeiro recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Cruzeiro led Shots on target 6-3. Cruzeiro also shaded Total shots 24-14.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Flamengo the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Flamengo
47.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
CruzeiroCruzeiro
Flamengo
6
3
Total shots
CruzeiroCruzeiro
Flamengo
24
14
Possession
FlamengoCruzeiro
Flamengo
48%
52%