Postmatch editorial
Botafogo flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Cruzeiro 0-1 Botafogo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Gabriel Justino put the first mark on the match 41', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cruzeiro led Corners 9-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cruzeiro also shaded Total shots 16-8.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cruzeiro the favourite at 56.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Cruzeiro
56.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
CruzeiroCruzeiro
Botafogo
9
1
Total shots
CruzeiroCruzeiro
Botafogo
16
8
Shots on target
CruzeiroCruzeiro
Botafogo
6
4