Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Crotone 0-1 Parma. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Franco Vázquez put the first mark on the match 30', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Crotone led Total shots 10-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Crotone also shaded Shots on target 3-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Crotone the favourite at 40.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Crotone

40.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Crotone

Crotone

Parma

10

4

Shots on target

Crotone

Crotone

Parma

3

2

Possession

Crotone

Crotone

Parma

58%

42%