Postmatch editorial
Crotone upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Crotone 3-1 Cremonese. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Augustus Kargbo put the first mark on the match 12', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cremonese led Total shots 12-14, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cremonese also shaded Possession 47%-53%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cremonese the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Cremonese
47.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
CremoneseCrotone
Cremonese
12
14
Possession
CremoneseCrotone
Cremonese
47%
53%
Shots on target
Crotone
Cremonese
6
6