Postmatch editorial

Modena upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Cremonese 0-3 Modena. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Giacomo Olzer put the first mark on the match 31', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cremonese led Corners 8-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Modena also shaded Shots on target 2-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cremonese the favourite at 41.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cremonese

41.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Cremonese

Cremonese

Modena

8

2

Shots on target

Modena

Cremonese

Modena

2

3

Total shots

Modena

Cremonese

Modena

8

10