Postmatch editorial
Coritiba flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Coritiba 2-1 Corinthians. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Pedro Rocha put the first mark on the match 40', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Corinthians led Corners 4-14, even though the scoreboard went another way. Corinthians also shaded Possession 35%-65%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Corinthians the favourite at 37.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Corinthians
37.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
CorinthiansCoritiba
Corinthians
4
14
Possession
CorinthiansCoritiba
Corinthians
35%
65%
Total shots
CorinthiansCoritiba
Corinthians
12
16