Postmatch editorial

Santos flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Corinthians 0-1 Santos. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Christian Oliva put the first mark on the match 33', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Corinthians led Corners 8-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Santos also shaded Shots on target 2-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Corinthians the favourite at 53.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Corinthians

53.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Corinthians

Corinthians

Santos

8

1

Shots on target

Santos

Corinthians

Santos

2

4

Total shots

Corinthians

Corinthians

Santos

18

8