Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Congleton Town FC 3-2 Newcastle Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Newcastle Town struck first through the opener 33', but Congleton Town FC recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Congleton Town FC led Corners 5-2. Congleton Town FC also shaded Possession 57%-43%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Newcastle Town the favourite at 42.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Newcastle Town

42.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Congleton Town FC

Congleton Town FC

Newcastle Town

5

2

Possession

Congleton Town FC

Congleton Town FC

Newcastle Town

57%

43%

Total shots

Congleton Town FC

Congleton Town FC

Newcastle Town

16

13