Como
Como won after full-time.
3 - 1
FT
Lecce
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Como delivered it
The final score was Como 3-1 Lecce. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Lecce struck first through Lassana Coulibaly 13', but Como recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Como led Shots on target 7-2. Como also shaded Total shots 12-5.
Before kickoff, our model made Como the likeliest result at 63.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced Como at 69.9% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (59.4%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Como
63.9%
Market result
Como
69.9%
BTTS
No
59.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
ComoComo
Lecce
7
2
Total shots
ComoComo
Lecce
12
5
Corners
ComoComo
Lecce
5
1
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.