Postmatch editorial
FC Cajamarca flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Comerciantes Unidos 2-3 FC Cajamarca. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Mauricio Arrasco scored 89' for FC Cajamarca.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Comerciantes Unidos led Possession 72%-28%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Comerciantes Unidos also shaded Total shots 27-13.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 63.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Comerciantes Unidos
63.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
72%
28%
Total shots
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
27
13
Corners
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
5
3