Postmatch editorial

Neither side managed to pull the match clear

The final score was Colombia 0-0 Peru. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Neither Colombia nor Peru found a breakthrough, so the game stayed goalless all the way through.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Peru led Shots on target 0-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Colombia also shaded Total shots 15-4.

Before kickoff, our model made Colombia the likeliest result at 75.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Colombia at 76.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (65.3%), and that angle landed.

Prediction checks

Model result

Colombia

75.7%

Miss

Market result

Colombia

76.6%

Miss

BTTS

No

65.3%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Peru

Colombia

Peru

0

1

Total shots

Colombia

Colombia

Peru

15

4

Possession

Colombia

Colombia

Peru

71%

29%

Value angle

No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.