Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Club Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
John McGinn put the first mark on the match 11', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Club Brugge led Possession 64%-36%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Aston Villa also shaded Total shots 14-21.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Club Brugge the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Club Brugge
40.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Club BruggeClub Brugge
Aston Villa
64%
36%
Total shots
Aston VillaClub Brugge
Aston Villa
14
21
Shots on target
Aston VillaClub Brugge
Aston Villa
7
9