Postmatch editorial

City of Liverpool upset the pre-match prices

The final score was City of Liverpool 3-0 Farsley Celtic. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when City of Liverpool scored 89' for City of Liverpool.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Farsley Celtic led Corners 1-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. City of Liverpool also shaded Shots on target 4-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Farsley Celtic the favourite at 66.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Farsley Celtic

66.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Farsley Celtic

City of Liverpool

Farsley Celtic

1

10

Shots on target

City of Liverpool

City of Liverpool

Farsley Celtic

4

2