Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Cittadella 1-2 Alessandria. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Simone Corazza put the first mark on the match 26', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cittadella led Possession 61%-39%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Alessandria also shaded Shots on target 4-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cittadella the favourite at 53.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cittadella

53.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Cittadella

Cittadella

Alessandria

61%

39%

Shots on target

Alessandria

Cittadella

Alessandria

4

5

Total shots

Cittadella

Cittadella

Alessandria

15

13