Postmatch editorial

Melgar upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Cienciano 1-3 Melgar. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Cienciano struck first through Alejandro Hohberg 22', but Melgar recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Melgar led Possession 35%-65%. Melgar also shaded Corners 2-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cienciano the favourite at 50.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cienciano

50.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Melgar

Cienciano

Melgar

35%

65%

Corners

Melgar

Cienciano

Melgar

2

4

Total shots

Melgar

Cienciano

Melgar

14

20