China PR
China PR won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Bahrain
Postmatch editorial
China PR settled a divided pre-match read
The final score was China PR 1-0 Bahrain. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Yudong Wang scored 90+3' for China PR.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: China PR led Shots on target 5-2. China PR also shaded Total shots 13-8.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced China PR at 43.1% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
China PR
43.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
China PRChina PR
Bahrain
5
2
Total shots
China PRChina PR
Bahrain
13
8
Possession
BahrainChina PR
Bahrain
39%
61%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.