China PR
Australia won after full-time.
0 - 2
FT
Australia
Postmatch editorial
Australia found the margin in a finely priced match
The final score was China PR 0-2 Australia. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Jackson Irvine put the first mark on the match 16', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Australia led Shots on target 1-3. China PR also shaded Total shots 12-8.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Australia at 63.7% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Australia
63.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
AustraliaChina PR
Australia
1
3
Total shots
China PRChina PR
Australia
12
8
Possession
AustraliaChina PR
Australia
49%
51%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.