Postmatch editorial

Alvechurch flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Cheltenham Town 1-2 Alvechurch. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Danny Waldron put the first mark on the match 19', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cheltenham Town led Shots on target 4-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cheltenham Town also shaded Corners 6-1.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cheltenham Town the favourite at 84.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cheltenham Town

84.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham Town

Alvechurch

4

2

Corners

Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham Town

Alvechurch

6

1

Total shots

Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham Town

Alvechurch

12

9