Postmatch editorial

Nottingham Forest upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Chelsea 1-3 Nottingham Forest. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Taiwo Awoniyi  put the first mark on the match 2', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Chelsea led Total shots 21-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Chelsea also shaded Corners 10-1.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Chelsea the favourite at 70.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Chelsea

70.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Chelsea

Chelsea

Nottingham Forest

21

6

Corners

Chelsea

Chelsea

Nottingham Forest

10

1

Possession

Chelsea

Chelsea

Nottingham Forest

67%

33%