Chelsea
Manchester United won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Manchester United
Postmatch editorial
Manchester United flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
Matheus Cunha put the first mark on the match 43', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Chelsea led Total shots 21-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Chelsea also shaded Shots on target 3-1.
Before kickoff, our model made Chelsea the likeliest result at 43.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced Chelsea at 46.9% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (56.1%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Chelsea
43.2%
Market result
Chelsea
46.9%
BTTS
Yes
56.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
ChelseaChelsea
Manchester United
21
4
Shots on target
ChelseaChelsea
Manchester United
3
1
Corners
ChelseaChelsea
Manchester United
7
1
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.