Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Chaves 2-3 Portimonense SAD. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Chaves struck first through Héctor Hernández 25', but Portimonense SAD recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Portimonense SAD led Shots on target 2-4. Portimonense SAD also shaded Possession 43%-57%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Chaves the favourite at 45.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Chaves

45.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Portimonense SAD

Chaves

Portimonense SAD

2

4

Possession

Portimonense SAD

Chaves

Portimonense SAD

43%

57%

Total shots

Portimonense SAD

Chaves

Portimonense SAD

10

11