Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Chapecoense 1-0 São Paulo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Bruno Pacheco put the first mark on the match 26', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: São Paulo led Possession 23%-77%, even though the scoreboard went another way. São Paulo also shaded Total shots 13-22.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made São Paulo the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
São Paulo
50.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
São PauloChapecoense
São Paulo
23%
77%
Total shots
São PauloChapecoense
São Paulo
13
22
Corners
ChapecoenseChapecoense
São Paulo
7
3