Postmatch editorial

The market favourite delivered for Málaga

The final score was Ceuta 1-4 Málaga. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

The decisive turn arrived late when Aarón Ochoa scored 82' for Málaga.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ceuta led Corners 5-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Málaga also shaded Shots on target 6-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Málaga the favourite at 57.8% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Málaga

57.8%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Ceuta

Ceuta

Málaga

5

1

Shots on target

Málaga

Ceuta

Málaga

6

8

Total shots

Ceuta

Ceuta

Málaga

14

11