Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Ceuta 0-2 Celta Fortuna. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Bernard Somuah scored 90+3' for Celta Fortuna.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ceuta led Shots on target 6-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Ceuta also shaded Corners 8-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ceuta the favourite at 52.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Ceuta

52.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Ceuta

Ceuta

Celta Fortuna

6

4

Corners

Ceuta

Ceuta

Celta Fortuna

8

4

Total shots

Ceuta

Ceuta

Celta Fortuna

18

15