Postmatch editorial

Ceuta flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Ceuta 1-0 Albacete. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Marcos Fernández put the first mark on the match 17', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Ceuta led Possession 61%-39%. Albacete also shaded Total shots 8-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Albacete the favourite at 40.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Albacete

40.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Ceuta

Ceuta

Albacete

61%

39%

Total shots

Albacete

Ceuta

Albacete

8

11

Corners

Ceuta

Ceuta

Albacete

6

4