Postmatch editorial

Calcio Padova upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Cesena 3-4 Calcio Padova. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Alessandro Seghetti scored 84' for Calcio Padova.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cesena led Corners 11-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cesena also shaded Total shots 30-15.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cesena the favourite at 71.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cesena

71.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Cesena

Cesena

Calcio Padova

11

3

Total shots

Cesena

Cesena

Calcio Padova

30

15

Shots on target

Cesena

Cesena

Calcio Padova

11

7