Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo won after full-time.
2 - 0
FT
Mallorca
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Celta de Vigo delivered it
The final score was Celta de Vigo 2-0 Mallorca. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Iago Aspas scored 90+5' for Celta de Vigo.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Celta de Vigo led Shots on target 7-0. Celta de Vigo also shaded Total shots 20-1.
Before kickoff, our model made Celta de Vigo the likeliest result at 57.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced Celta de Vigo at 56.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (50.7%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Celta de Vigo
57.2%
Market result
Celta de Vigo
56.2%
BTTS
Yes
50.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
Mallorca
7
0
Total shots
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
Mallorca
20
1
Corners
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
Mallorca
7
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.