Postmatch editorial

Levante upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Celta de Vigo 2-3 Levante. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Celta de Vigo struck first through Ferran Jutglà 4', but Levante recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Celta de Vigo led Possession 57%-43%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Levante also shaded Total shots 11-14.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Celta de Vigo the favourite at 52.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Celta de Vigo

52.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Celta de Vigo

Celta de Vigo

Levante

57%

43%

Total shots

Levante

Celta de Vigo

Levante

11

14

Shots on target

Celta de Vigo

Levante

6

6