Postmatch editorial

Slovan Bratislava upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Celje 1-2 Slovan Bratislava after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Cristian Martínez scored 100' for Slovan Bratislava.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Celje led Possession 62%-38%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Slovan Bratislava also shaded Corners 5-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Celje the favourite at 38.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Celje

38.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Celje

Celje

Slovan Bratislava

62%

38%

Corners

Slovan Bratislava

Celje

Slovan Bratislava

5

8

Shots on target

Slovan Bratislava

Celje

Slovan Bratislava

7

8