Postmatch editorial

CD Ebro flipped the prices on their head

The final score was CD Ebro 1-0 Ponferradina after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when AdriĆ” de Mesa scored 114' for CD Ebro.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: CD Ebro led Corners 10-5. CD Ebro also shaded Shots on target 5-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ponferradina the favourite at 41.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Ponferradina

41.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

CD Ebro

CD Ebro

Ponferradina

10

5

Shots on target

CD Ebro

CD Ebro

Ponferradina

5

4

Possession

Ponferradina

CD Ebro

Ponferradina

49%

51%