Postmatch editorial
CD Ebro flipped the prices on their head
The final score was CD Ebro 1-0 Ponferradina after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when AdriĆ” de Mesa scored 114' for CD Ebro.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: CD Ebro led Corners 10-5. CD Ebro also shaded Shots on target 5-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ponferradina the favourite at 41.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Ponferradina
41.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
CD EbroCD Ebro
Ponferradina
10
5
Shots on target
CD EbroCD Ebro
Ponferradina
5
4
Possession
PonferradinaCD Ebro
Ponferradina
49%
51%