Postmatch editorial

San Nicolò upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Catania 1-2 San Nicolò after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Catania struck first through Kevin Biondi 26', but San Nicolò recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: San Nicolò led Corners 8-9. Catania also shaded Possession 52%-48%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Catania the favourite at 83.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Catania

83.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

San Nicolò

Catania

San Nicolò

8

9

Possession

Catania

Catania

San Nicolò

52%

48%

Shots on target

Catania

San Nicolò

4

4