Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Casa Pia 0-1 Tondela. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Bebeto put the first mark on the match 68', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Tondela led Total shots 4-9. Casa Pia also shaded Corners 7-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Casa Pia the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Casa Pia

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Tondela

Casa Pia

Tondela

4

9

Corners

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Tondela

7

2

Shots on target

Tondela

Casa Pia

Tondela

3

5