Postmatch editorial
Casa Pia made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when André Lacximicant scored 90+6' for Casa Pia.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Chaves led Possession 40%-60%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Chaves also shaded Shots on target 5-6.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Casa Pia the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Casa Pia
50.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
ChavesCasa Pia
Chaves
40%
60%
Shots on target
ChavesCasa Pia
Chaves
5
6
Corners
ChavesCasa Pia
Chaves
4
5