Postmatch editorial

Imolese upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Carrarese 0-1 Imolese. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Michael De Marchi put the first mark on the match 69', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Carrarese led Shots on target 7-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Carrarese also shaded Corners 9-1.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Carrarese the favourite at 80.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Carrarese

80.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Carrarese

Carrarese

Imolese

7

3

Corners

Carrarese

Carrarese

Imolese

9

1

Possession

Carrarese

Carrarese

Imolese

56%

44%