Postmatch editorial

Empoli upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Carrarese 0-1 Empoli. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Bogdan Popov put the first mark on the match 74', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Carrarese led Shots on target 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Empoli also shaded Corners 1-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Carrarese the favourite at 43.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Carrarese

43.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Carrarese

Carrarese

Empoli

5

2

Corners

Empoli

Carrarese

Empoli

1

7

Total shots

Empoli

Carrarese

Empoli

9

16