Postmatch editorial

Cardiff City made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Cardiff City 3-2 Swindon Town. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Swindon Town struck first through Gabriel Osho 9', but Cardiff City recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Cardiff City led Shots on target 4-1. Cardiff City also shaded Corners 6-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cardiff City the favourite at 76.3% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Cardiff City

76.3%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Cardiff City

Cardiff City

Swindon Town

4

1

Corners

Cardiff City

Cardiff City

Swindon Town

6

3

Possession

Cardiff City

Cardiff City

Swindon Town

61%

39%