Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Cagliari 0-2 Udinese. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Idrissa Gueye scored 90+6' for Udinese.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cagliari led Total shots 22-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cagliari also shaded Possession 63%-37%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cagliari the favourite at 39.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Cagliari
39.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
CagliariCagliari
Udinese
22
9
Possession
CagliariCagliari
Udinese
63%
37%
Corners
CagliariCagliari
Udinese
8
4