Postmatch editorial

Hellas Verona flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Cagliari 1-2 Hellas Verona. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Samuele Mulattieri scored 87' for Hellas Verona.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cagliari led Corners 6-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cagliari also shaded Total shots 14-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cagliari the favourite at 52.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cagliari

52.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Cagliari

Cagliari

Hellas Verona

6

2

Total shots

Cagliari

Cagliari

Hellas Verona

14

9

Possession

Cagliari

Cagliari

Hellas Verona

61%

39%