Postmatch editorial

Cagliari upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Cagliari 3-2 Atalanta. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Paul Mendy put the first mark on the match 1', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Atalanta led Possession 27%-73%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Atalanta also shaded Shots on target 4-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Atalanta the favourite at 57.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Atalanta

57.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Atalanta

Cagliari

Atalanta

27%

73%

Shots on target

Atalanta

Cagliari

Atalanta

4

6

Total shots

Atalanta

Cagliari

Atalanta

9

12