Postmatch editorial

Caen flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Caen 1-0 Dijon. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Fayçal Fajr put the first mark on the match 67', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dijon led Shots on target 2-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Caen also shaded Corners 5-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dijon the favourite at 40.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Dijon

40.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Dijon

Caen

Dijon

2

3

Corners

Caen

Caen

Dijon

5

3

Total shots

Caen

Caen

Dijon

14

13