Burundi
Burundi won after full-time.
5 - 0
FT
Seychelles
Postmatch editorial
Burundi turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Burundi 5-0 Seychelles. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Christophe Nduwarugira put the first mark on the match 22', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Burundi led Shots on target 7-0. Burundi also shaded Total shots 7-0.
Before kickoff, our model made Burundi the likeliest result at 58.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced Burundi at 91.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.8%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Burundi
58.3%
Market result
Burundi
91.7%
BTTS
Yes
52.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
BurundiBurundi
Seychelles
7
0
Total shots
BurundiBurundi
Seychelles
7
0
Corners
BurundiBurundi
Seychelles
6
0
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.