Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Burton Albion 1-1 Exeter City. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Ilmari Niskanen put the first mark on the match 14', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Burton Albion led Shots on target 5-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Burton Albion also shaded Total shots 16-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Burton Albion the favourite at 58.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Burton Albion

58.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Burton Albion

Burton Albion

Exeter City

5

1

Total shots

Burton Albion

Burton Albion

Exeter City

16

6

Corners

Burton Albion

Burton Albion

Exeter City

3

1