Postmatch editorial
The prices said close and the pitch agreed
The final score was Burnley 1-1 Notts County after extra time. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Emile Acquah put the first mark on the match 1', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Burnley led Shots on target 4-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Burnley also shaded Possession 74%-26%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Burnley the favourite at 73.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Burnley
73.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
BurnleyBurnley
Notts County
4
2
Possession
BurnleyBurnley
Notts County
74%
26%
Total shots
BurnleyBurnley
Notts County
12
6