Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion won after full-time.
0 - 2
FT
Brighton & Hove Albion
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Brighton & Hove Albion delivered it
The final score was Burnley 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Mats Wieffer scored 89' for Brighton & Hove Albion.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Burnley led Corners 8-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Brighton & Hove Albion also shaded Total shots 10-13.
Before kickoff, our model made Brighton & Hove Albion the likeliest result at 50.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced Brighton & Hove Albion at 61.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (50.2%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Brighton & Hove Albion
50.3%
Market result
Brighton & Hove Albion
61.7%
BTTS
Yes
50.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
BurnleyBurnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
8
2
Total shots
Brighton & Hove AlbionBurnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
10
13
Shots on target
Brighton & Hove AlbionBurnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
5
6
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.