Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso won after full-time.
4 - 1
FT
Djibouti
Postmatch editorial
Burkina Faso turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Burkina Faso 4-1 Djibouti. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Josué Tiendrébéogo put the first mark on the match 12', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Burkina Faso led Shots on target 6-4. Burkina Faso also shaded Possession 57%-43%.
Before kickoff, our model made Burkina Faso the likeliest result at 71.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Burkina Faso at 93.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (61.1%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Burkina Faso
71.8%
Market result
Burkina Faso
93.5%
BTTS
No
61.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
Djibouti
6
4
Possession
Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
Djibouti
57%
43%
Total shots
Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
Djibouti
11
10
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.