Postmatch editorial

Lugo flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Burgos 0-1 Lugo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sebas Moyano put the first mark on the match 45+2', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Lugo led Shots on target 3-5. Burgos also shaded Possession 55%-45%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Burgos the favourite at 65.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Burgos

65.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Lugo

Burgos

Lugo

3

5

Possession

Burgos

Burgos

Lugo

55%

45%

Total shots

Burgos

Burgos

Lugo

13

11