Postmatch editorial

Stevenage flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Bristol Rovers 0-1 Stevenage. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Jamie Reid put the first mark on the match 12', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bristol Rovers led Possession 70%-30%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bristol Rovers also shaded Corners 7-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Bristol Rovers the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Bristol Rovers

40.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

Stevenage

70%

30%

Corners

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

Stevenage

7

2

Total shots

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

Stevenage

11

6