Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Bristol City 0-1 Walsall. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Aaron Pressley put the first mark on the match 47', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bristol City led Total shots 32-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bristol City also shaded Possession 72%-28%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Bristol City the favourite at 75.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Bristol City

75.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Bristol City

Bristol City

Walsall

32

8

Possession

Bristol City

Bristol City

Walsall

72%

28%

Shots on target

Bristol City

Bristol City

Walsall

9

5