Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United won after full-time.
0 - 3
FT
Manchester United
Postmatch editorial
Manchester United flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Manchester United. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
Patrick Dorgu put the first mark on the match 33', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Manchester United led Shots on target 2-7. Manchester United also shaded Corners 0-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Brighton & Hove Albion the likeliest result at 41.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Brighton & Hove Albion at 52.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (51.2%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Brighton & Hove Albion
41.7%
Market result
Brighton & Hove Albion
52.6%
BTTS
Yes
51.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Manchester UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
2
7
Corners
Manchester UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0
3
Total shots
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
13
11
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.